A couple of weeks ago, I thought of looking up how the predictions changed over time but didn’t have the time to do so. But now I don’t have to thanks to Matthew Ball. It’s wild to see how they continue to be wrong and only change in 2021 how fast it will grow. The actual estimated shipment numbers are super revealing as well. Does anyone else feel this way?
I don’t think it’s going to reach the curve until they are actually consumer-ready. They still need better form fits and better utility. Most people don’t care about glasses that can just tell you the weather or help check emails. It’s not worth it when we’re already used to our phones.
VR headsets might get skipped entirely in favor of AR glasses. They seem more user-friendly, but only if smart glasses don’t get rejected by the public.
I feel like AR is harder to solve than slim VR. The optics must be a challenge that they can’t really nail down yet.
I think partnerships will be key. Like Meta and Ray-Ban, if they can make smart glasses that look normal, people might be more inclined to buy them.
Honestly, a lot of market research and forecasts seem pretty off most of the time. They don’t seem to reflect reality well.